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Home / Guides / Why Arbitrage Is a Game Against Yourself Not Against the System

Why Arbitrage Is a Game Against Yourself, Not Against the System

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calendar 29.08.25
time--v1 4 minutes

Arbitrage specialists have a favorite mantra: “We’re fighting the system.” As if Facebook, TikTok, or Google moderators are sitting in some underground bunker, personally inventing ways to burn your accounts and reject your creatives.

Sounds dramatic, but it’s complete nonsense. Arbitrage isn’t a war against platforms. It’s a war against yourself. And to be honest, it’s this inner battle that determines whether you’ll end up in the red, break even, or hit a fat profit.

The Illusion of an Enemy

Yes, accounts get banned. Yes, moderation rejects creatives. Yes, networks cap your traffic. But let’s be honest: this happens not only to you. The system isn’t playing against “Ivan from Perm” or “Carlos from Buenos Aires.” It just exists.

Example: one beginner in a chat complains that “FB is killing the offer.” At the same moment, another guy in the same network is running the same offer and posting a screenshot with profit. Same offer, same rules — different results. Why?

The Real Opponent: Laziness

Any experienced arbitrageur will confirm: the hardest part isn’t launching campaigns. It’s forcing yourself to make one more creative, one more test, one more funnel.

One buyer once said: “I made two banners, both flopped, and I wanted to quit. Then I pushed myself to make ten more. The third banner from the second batch worked and covered all my losses.”

The moral is simple: most people fail not because “the system kills them”, but because they can’t be bothered to make that tenth banner.

Emotions vs. Numbers

A red day in the tracker — and suddenly your brain screams:

“Double down, it’s about to hit!”
“Shut down the campaign, this is a scam!”
“Switch the offer, nothing to catch here!”

Sound familiar? One newbie in our community tilted exactly like this: kept pouring into losses until he burned $500 for nothing. Meanwhile, another buyer on the same offer calmly waited for stats, cut a few trash audiences, and went into profit that same day.

The only difference? One lost his cool, the other stayed calm and kept working.

Discipline vs. Chaos

Most beginners start “freestyling”: pausing a campaign here, doubling the budget there, swapping a landing page somewhere else — and then can’t even tell what actually worked.

Those who really make money? It’s boring: spreadsheets, stats, consistent testing.

One top buyer once said: “I make 20 creatives a day. 18 don’t work, 2 bring profit. But without those 18, I’d never find the 2.”

That’s discipline — the systematic approach most people are too lazy to stick to.

Self-Deception: The Biggest Ban

There’s an enemy worse than moderation: self-deception.

“I tested the offer” (in reality, made two creatives and gave up).
“The offer doesn’t work” (while everyone in the chat is making money with it).
“I don’t have a budget” (but somehow you bought the new iPhone).

True story: one guy claimed he had “no money for testing.” A week later, he posted a story with a brand-new iPhone. The problem clearly wasn’t the budget.

Why the System Isn’t to Blame

Here’s the key point: algorithms don’t conspire. Facebook doesn’t keep a list of “ban these people first.” There are rules, and they apply to everyone equally.

The Real Game: Against Yourself

In the end, arbitrage boils down to this:

  • Can you overcome laziness and run one more test?
  • Can you keep emotions in check when the stats are red?
  • Can you stay disciplined when you feel like gambling with budgets?
  • Can you face the numbers honestly and not lie to yourself?

Winners aren’t the ones who found a “secret funnel” or bought “eternal accounts.” Winners are those who beat themselves.

Checklist: How to Play Against Yourself the Right Way

  • Limit emotions. Before changing a campaign, look at the numbers — not your mood.
  • Test properly. At least 10–15 creatives per offer, otherwise conclusions are meaningless.
  • Document everything. Spreadsheets, notes, trackers — there’s no place for chaos here.
  • Don’t lie to yourself. If the offer failed, admit it. If you didn’t test enough, admit that too.
  • Stick to routine. Campaigns, creatives, analysis — not “when you feel like it,” but daily.

Conclusion

Arbitrage isn’t a fight with algorithms, moderators, or some abstract “system.” It’s a game against yourself.

Either you become disciplined, patient, and cold-headed in your decisions — or you stay the guy who “lost it all because FB killed me.”

And you know what’s most interesting? The moment you stop fighting the system and start playing against yourself — the system suddenly stops looking like an enemy. It becomes just a tool.

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